ARC 09 Full weather synopsis + time for some quiet reflection

 

ARC 2009 Weather Forecast
22-Nov-2009
Issued 0730 UTC 22 /11/2009
SYNOPSIS: High (1034mb) near 36N/30W strengthening to 1036mb
& slowly moving E past Azores to 36N/20W in 24 hrs. High workng to 1026mb while moving E over Iberia in 24 hrs. Stationary front across northern Alfa, Bravo & Charlie, between 27N and 30N, dissipating in 24-36 hrs. Sct shwrs & increased cld near the stationary front.
ZONE FX valid 11/22/1200 UTC to 11/23/1200 UTC
ALFA
WIND: N of 27N, NE veering ENE 10-15 gust 20 increasing to 15-20 gust 25
late. S of 27N, NE 15-20 gust 25 increasing to 20-25 gust 30 late.
SEAS: 1-2m, increasing to 2-3, from NW.
WEATHER: N of 27N & W of 15W, sct cld & isolated shwrs. Elswhr sct cld.
BRAVO
WIND: N of 27N, ENE 15-20 gust 25. S of 27N, ENE/E 15-20 gust 25 increasing
to 20-25 gust 30 late.
SEAS: 2-3m, locally 4m, from NW.
WEATHER: N of 27N, sct cld & shwrs. Elswhr sct clouds.
GOLF
WIND: ENE/E 15-20 gust 25.
SEAS: N of 20N 2-3m from NW. Elswhr 1-2m from NW.
WEATHER: Few to sct cld.
ZONE FORECASTS valid 11/23/1200 UTC to 11/24/1200 UTC
ALFA
WIND: N of 27N, NE/ENE 15-20 gust 25 easing early to 10-15 gust 20, locally under 10 kts late. S of 27N, NE 20-25 gust 30 easing very early to 15-20 gust 25.
SEAS: N of 27N, 2-3m from NW. Elswhr 1-2m, locally 3m, from NW.
WEATHER: N of 27N sct cld & isolated shwrs. Elswhr sct cld.
BRAVO
WIND: N of 27N, ENE/E 15-20 gust 25 easing early to 10-15 lull 05. S of 27N, ENE/E 20-25 gust 30 easing very early to 15-20 gust 25.
SEAS: 2-3m, locally 4m early, from NW trending N.
WEATHER: N of 27N, sct cld & isolated shwrs. Elswhr sct to few cld.
CHARLIE
WIND: N of 27N, E 15-20 easing to 10-15 & veering ESE/SE. Elswhr 15-20 gust
25.
SEAS: 2-3m, locally 4m early, from NW trending N.
WEATHER: N of 27N & W of 30W, sct cld & isolated shwrs. Elswhr sct to few
cld
GOLF
WIND: ENE/E 15-20 gust 25 easing to 10-15 lull 05, steadiest wind N of 20N.
SEAS: 2-3m from NW.
WEATHER: Few to sct cld.
HOTEL
WIND: ENE/E 15-20 gust 25.
SEAS: 2-3m from NW.
WEATHER: Sct cld.
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK valid 11/24/1200 UTC to 11/27/1200 UTC
SYNOPSIS: High pressure (1025mb) stationary near Gibraltar extends over
Alfa, Bravo & Charlie from 24th-25th. High may reform near Azores on 26th.
ALFA: NE/ENE 10-15, locally 15-20 from 24th-27th Sct cld.
BRAVO: ENE/E 10-15, on 24th-25th. 15-20 from NE/ENE on 26th-27th. Sct cld.
CHARLIE: ESE/E 10-15, lull 05, on 24th-25th. Increasing to 15-20 from ENE/E on 26th-27th. Sct cld & isolated shwrs.
GOLF: NE 10-15 from 24th-27th. Sct to few cld.
HOTEL: NE 15-20 from 24th-27th. Sct cld & isolated shwrs.

Some quiet reflection from Andy who is sailing the ARC on Erasmos 1 – A Canadian entry Bavaria 44

28:07.65N  15:25.70W

It’s 7:00 am and the sun is rising over the marina from the east but it hasn’t broken the horizon yet.  It’s starting to get light, and it’s very quiet and peaceful.  Some low clouds scudding across the sky but they don’t look threatening.  I woke early today, around 6:30, which is different from the normal routine over the last fortnight of about 8:00 am.

Since the crew was still sound asleep I grabbed a bathroom bag and as quietly as possible snuck out to the public bathrooms for one last shave, wash and toothbrush in a bathroom where you don’t bang your elbows on the walls.  I’ll miss that luxury for the next few weeks J.  There were two other people in the bathroom, even at that early time, and we each went about our business.  Both men about my age or a little older, and we chatted innocuously.  It was clear to each of us we were sailors about to go.  And as men do, we did not strike up long and deep conversations, we politely made some jokes about a drunk wandering by outside on the street singing, finished our business and left.

But as we left we looked each other in the eye and quietly and sincerely said a simple “Have a good one”.  Nothing else, not deep nor profound.  Just a nod and a statement.  We each knew exactly what those four words meant.  And for me that sums up both the peril and the promise that is in front of us.  Be careful but enjoy.  It’s time to chase the promise.

As I walked alone along the marina road back to the boat I was overwhelmed momentarily by the emotional intensity of that quiet morning moment.  Our boats are modern and well made, we have enormous resources (SSB’s, VHF’s, EPIRBS etc etc) at our call, and we will be both guided by the ARC and in the company of 225 other boats.  But I think there is still something incredibly personal and emotional in the journey we will each make over the next two to three weeks.  Perhaps we are all, at some level, dreamers and adventures in spirit.

So to each and everyone on this journey, “Have a good one”.

Andy – 7:38 AM on Day 1 the Start Day.  Time to get the weather forecast and find out what these clouds portend.


 

 

 

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